brockton bay, meet glam

[mxglam]

It's the anniversary. Glam would very much not like to celebrate.

It’s their last day on Winslow High - they’re being transferred to Arcadia on Monday - and also their last day without a patrol schedule assigned.

And the PRT released a small announcement on its website about Glam joining the Wards. Now their wiki page doesn’t get erased, of course - they’re no longer speculative. They wonder what it’s got on them.

Comments

[thinkering]

"Don't allow comments?"

[mxglam]

"Even if I don't, doubtlessly people will talk about it on the PHO boards, and they might wonder why I'm not allowing comments there anyway."

[thinkering]

"You're not allowing comments because Internet comments are the scum of the earth, obviously. I'm not sure. Do you happen to know at what ratio of pessimism to optimism adding other people's expectations doesn't improve you any farther?"

[mxglam]

"No, and I have no idea how to even measure that. One person is enough to outbelieve me, but I think there's some... measuring going on? Like, I think there's something like 'how strongly' I believe something that's pitched against same on other people. I don't have any information on whether there's diminishing returns or different weights for other people's beliefs, but for now I'd bet on everyone being treated the same."

[thinkering]

"...How sure are you that other people even can help as opposed to just being able to hurt if they're skeptical?"

[mxglam]

"Well, I haven't ever performed any controlled tests, I guess, but it's the impression I have from regular power usage?" Pause. "Biggest piece of evidence that comes to mind: my laser was stronger after your talking about it against Leviathan. Alternative explanation: the fact that I expected that to be how it works did the thing."

[thinkering]

"This definitely calls for controlled tests, because if it's just your expectations that need managing for positive results it's not worth the risk of backlash."

[mxglam]

"Yes. How should we test that? Perform some kind of feat multiple times while I don't actually know how many people are watching each time, see if anything changes?"

[thinkering]

"I was thinking call Windflower over, tell her we're testing the squinting thing, and occasionally lie to her about what you're trying to do."

[mxglam]

"How do we test the 'she's affecting it positively' hypothesis against the 'she isn't but my expecting she is is' hypothesis under that setup?"

[thinkering]

"I don't tell you what I'm telling her?"

[mxglam]

"Okay... yeah I guess it sounds like a good first test. There's three things we're testing, right: my expectations alone, mine versus hers, and mine alone." Pause. "But actually even if other people only contribute negatively, their passive expectations definitely do contribute there, and the whole building-a-rep thing is still worth it if only to remove everyone else's negative passive expectations about me."

[thinkering]

"Only to the extent you can avoid trolls claiming you can't do anything. It demands a much more conservative approach."

[mxglam]

"No, that's not what I mean. Like, people not only don't expect a random Tinker gun to hurt Endbringers much, they expect it not to, and that definitely counts against me and is an expectation I need to work on. If I'm just a random nobody, they'll have no reason to not hold the basic expectation that I'll be ineffective."

[thinkering]

"There's kinds and kinds of ineffective. You did hurt Leviathan. You didn't kill him, but he shooed that much sooner. If backlash gets too bad you might not be able to do even that much."

[mxglam]

"Point, but I don't think backlash can get that bad? Even if people don't like me, unless they actually start believing I'm a sham they won't expect me to fail. I think. I mean, the approach is slightly different if there's literally no positive feedback from other people, I suppose, but the basic strategy of building a rep is sound."

[thinkering]

"I have bot footage of Leviathan too, by the by, they're recording by default."

[mxglam]

"Ooh, yes, that's good. Maybe I shouldn't release that as a first episode, though, could be something like a bonus one a couple of weeks away."

[thinkering]

"Sure. Tune in next week for a shot of me nailing Leviathan with this awesome gun! Include still shot of gun."

[mxglam]

They laugh. "Yeah. But in any case, we should test that. What kind of thing should I do?"

[thinkering]

"With Windflower, you mean?"

[mxglam]

"Yeah."

[thinkering]

"You still don't have much teekay with objects you haven't conjured. But she's seen you move an object once, so she won't expect it to be impossible as a general rule. We can take a baseline, set her up in another room with a robot, and go from there with you and her having various sets of information."

[mxglam]

"Okay, I'm liking that. And now I'm thinking that there's, like, some extent to which my power's restricted by my own subconscious expectations, even of stuff I'm not actually perceiving?"

[thinkering]

"Oh?"